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【学术预告】北卡罗来纳州大学教堂山分校金融学副教授Mariano Massimiliano Croce学术研讨会:政府债务与创新收益

时间:2017-03-01 来源: 作者: 浏览: 字号: 打印

主题Government Debt and the Returns to Innovation(政府债务与创新收益)

主讲人Mariano Massimiliano Croce,北卡罗来纳州大学教堂山分校凯南-弗拉格勒商学院金融学副教授

日期:201731日(周三)

时间:上午10:00-11:30

地点:清华五道口金融学院4号楼101教室

语言:英文

摘要:

Elevated levels of government debt raise concerns about their effects on long-term growth prospects. Using the cross section of US stock returns, we show that (i) high-R&D firms are more exposed to government debt and pay higher expected returns than low-R&D firms; and (ii) higher levels of the debt-to-GDP ratio predict higher risk premia for high-R&D firms. Furthermore, rises in the cost of capital for innovation-intensive firms predict declines in subsequent R&D activity and economic growth. We study these findings in a production-based asset pricing model with endogenous innovation as in Comin and Gertler (2006). By accounting for fiscal and political risk, our model reproduces several aspects of the empirical evidence.

主讲人简介:

The research of finance professor Mariano Massimiliano Croce focuses on asset pricing in general equilibrium models in which there is uncertainty about the long horizon perspectives of the economy (growth news shocks). Projects include the study of international asset prices and exchange rates; the interaction between asset prices, investment decisions, wealth and welfare on a global scale; links between investors’ information and asset prices; growth implications of fiscal policy risks.

He has published in leading academic journals such as, for example, The Journal of Political Economy, The American Economic Review, The Journal of Finance, The Review of Financial Studies, and The Journal of Monetary Economics.

Dr. Croce teaches courses in global macroeconomics at several leading academic institutions such as Kenan-Flagler B.S. (UNC), Wharton, STERN, ISB. He served as a research intern at Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington, D.C. and the European Central Bank in Frankfurt. He received his PhD in economics from New York University and master’s and bachelor’s degrees in economics from L. Bocconi University, Milan.

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